Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 1.092791 1.319496 1.560241 1.832962 2.131453 2.446501 2.802478
2024-11-03 0.838439 1.156373 1.517762 1.950722 2.447802 2.993993 3.633144
2024-11-10 0.713566 1.081573 1.519626 2.063265 2.705353 3.427055 4.287722
2024-11-17 0.617599 1.023781 1.528107 2.173368 2.953595 3.846645 4.927498
2024-11-24 0.518569 0.943328 1.493469 2.218052 3.113237 4.154565 5.431171
2024-12-01 0.423901 0.853548 1.435301 2.224028 3.218855 4.393772 5.851260
2024-12-08 0.323569 0.738652 1.330992 2.160472 3.230277 4.513971 6.125822
2024-12-15 0.242889 0.638310 1.235057 2.098213 3.235598 4.620852 6.379722
2024-12-22 0.185365 0.563587 1.166514 2.065008 3.271719 4.760474 6.668774
2024-12-29 0.152948 0.526553 1.149099 2.098283 3.391245 5.001462 7.079567
2025-01-05 0.121216 0.483342 1.117507 2.108288 3.477898 5.200002 7.437840
2025-01-12 0.088756 0.429078 1.062547 2.080635 3.511464 5.329692 7.710228
2025-01-19 0.083604 0.439524 1.118911 2.223062 3.784787 5.777375 8.393590
2025-01-26 0.076692 0.444383 1.166303 2.353963 4.045393 6.212790 9.067103
2025-02-02 0.070097 0.448002 1.210538 2.479524 4.298388 6.638378 9.728525
2025-02-09 0.063742 0.450556 1.252447 2.601779 4.547616 7.060386 10.387342
2025-02-16 0.050508 0.427968 1.247326 2.651384 4.696194 7.352742 10.884674
2025-02-23 0.035834 0.392840 1.215710 2.657999 4.783752 7.565477 11.282098
2025-03-02 0.019513 0.336556 1.137539 2.587488 4.760248 7.631636 11.493651
2025-03-09 0.008799 0.286238 1.063511 2.518325 4.734811 7.692437 11.696181
2025-03-16 0.003403 0.249860 1.012113 2.481403 4.751788 7.805962 11.962561
2025-03-23 0.001549 0.235265 1.005967 2.518403 4.875160 8.060624 12.409420
2025-03-30 0.000332 0.215414 0.985327 2.529522 4.959977 8.263527 12.790032